document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', () => { /** init gtm after 3500 seconds - this could be adjusted */ setTimeout(initGTM, 3500); }); document.addEventListener('scroll', initGTMOnEvent); document.addEventListener('mousemove', initGTMOnEvent); document.addEventListener('touchstart', initGTMOnEvent); function initGTMOnEvent(event) { initGTM(); event.currentTarget.removeEventListener(event.type, initGTMOnEvent); // remove the event listener that got triggered } function initGTM() { if (window.gtmDidInit) { return false; } window.gtmDidInit = true; // flag to ensure script does not get added to DOM more than once. const script = document.createElement('script'); script.type = 'text/javascript'; script.async = true; // ensure PageViews is always tracked (on script load) script.onload = () => { dataLayer.push({ event: 'gtm.js', 'gtm.start': new Date().getTime(), 'gtm.uniqueEventId': 0 }); }; script.src = 'https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id=GTM-W3L96RR'; document.head.appendChild(script);

Playing the Long Game is How we Win, but We Forget How to Play

Discover Ideas That Improve Decisions

Join 370+ decision-makers and get our short (3-min) email about improving the quality of your decisions with practical advice.
A row of people profile pictures

The long game, the long view, strategic thinking.

They are all the same thing – a process of not living for the short term but looking for longer-term payoffs. And yet we don’t live like it. We live in ‘the moment’ - guided by our short-term urges as we become ignorant of the laws of life.

The law of large numbers is one such example of a law we know of, but don’t understand.

We see 1% as a small number but ignore the impact of it on an enormous number. Take the mortality rate of COVID-19. If it was 1% - well that’s okay, we tell ourselves. One percent of a population the size of the US – well that’s a vast number – over three million. That's not okay.

Not grasping this insight from the law of large numbers is one of two points we don't understand.  When we see summaries from vast sums of data, we naively believe the same dynamic applies to a smaller group. We think a 1% mortality rate won’t affect us, but the disease doesn’t take one from a family – it takes whole families.

We know this, but we don’t understand it.

We can’t grasp the risks; we can’t see the danger we have become ignorant of. We would rather go shopping on a busy high street to satisfy an urge for the joy of a day than stay safe by not.

We have forgotten the rules of playing the long game.

Don't miss these stories:

connect with us

A box featuring Your Decision Journal—a notion template.

Say Goodbye to Your Bad Decisions

The #1 Guided Decision Journal Notion Template

Your decisions define your life. So we created a 9-step decision journal to help you make the right choices from the start. It is the best way to say goodbye to bad decisions!
Make Better Decisions Now→Find out more
©
All rights reserved.